Perugia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 0
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PIS
2 - 5
PRG
54%
29%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
USF
0 - 0
MAN
56%
27%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIV
56%
28%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 2
PIA
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |