Perugia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 3
PRG
22%
26%
51%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PRG
0 - 1
POT
68%
22%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
JUS
0 - 1
PRG
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
ACS
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ACL
0 - 1
FCC
50%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PAV
1 - 2
ACL
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ACL
0 - 0
ACR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ACL
1 - 3
VAR
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |