Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 0-3
Perugia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
PIA
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAM
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ROM
1 - 0
PRG
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
CES
0 - 4
FIO
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |