Perugia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
COM
0 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
FIO
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
25%
32%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 0
PRG
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CES
3 - 1
ASC
61%
25%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 1
CES
49%
29%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
CES
0 - 1
NAP
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ROM
2 - 2
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
CES
2 - 3
INT
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |