Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 2
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 1
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
VIC
38%
32%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 2
GEN
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARZ
47%
31%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARZ
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ARZ
3 - 0
FCC
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |