Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
PAL
1 - 1
PRG
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
ATL
48%
34%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRG
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
45%
33%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
EMP
1 - 1
PRG
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CES
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FCC
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
ARZ
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SSS
51%
29%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |