Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
BAR
3 - 1
PRG
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
ATL
55%
31%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
PRG
3 - 2
ACM
22%
28%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
PRG
0 - 0
SSS
49%
31%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
23%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
USC
1 - 0
ARZ
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 2
CAT
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |