Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRI
68%
22%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
ARZ
3 - 2
PES
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
USF
1 - 1
ARZ
66%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
29%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 0
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ATL
45%
30%
25%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |