Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRG
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 1
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 3
ASC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
27%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ARZ
0 - 0
REG
61%
26%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
44%
32%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |