Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
NOV
4 - 2
PRG
54%
27%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
COM
2 - 1
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 1
PRG
44%
32%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BRI
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VAR
37%
33%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
ARZ
40%
32%
28%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
43%
34%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |