Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 0
PRG
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
37%
32%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
TAR
1 - 1
PRG
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 0
BAR
47%
31%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 2
PRG
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CES
52%
30%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
SOR
0 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |