Perugia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
LIV
60%
26%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
PIA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
PRG
50%
29%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
PRG
3 - 2
COM
57%
26%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
ARZ
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
CAT
3 - 0
ARZ
49%
29%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
ARZ
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |