UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Perugia vs AC Allianssi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
PRG
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PIA
5 - 1
PRG
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Allianssi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
HAK
5 - 0
ALL
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
ALL
0 - 0
AKR
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
KUO
0 - 0
ALL
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
AKR
0 - 1
ALL
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
ALL
3 - 0
HAM
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |