Perugia U19 vs Virtus Lanciano U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATA
0 - 0
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
CHI
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
PES
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 1
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
CIT
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 5
PES
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
SAS
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIR
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
VIR
84%
12%
5%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
INT
9%
15%
77%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | -1 |