Perugia Sub 19 vs Spezia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
9º
35
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TER
2 - 1
PER
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
CRO
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
SAL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 2
PER
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
PAL
57%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 2
SPE
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
TER
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 2
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 0
MNP
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |