Perugia Sub 19 vs Spezia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CCS
0 - 1
PER
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
CES
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
PER
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PER
4 - 1
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
PER
57%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SPE
4 - 1
LAZ
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
SPE
4 - 3
CRO
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 0
SPE
38%
23%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
TER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |