Perugia U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
ASC
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
LAZ
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 1
PER
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
BEN
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
PER
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
BAR
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 1
BAR
14%
17%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CRO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TER
0 - 1
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |