Perth Red Star vs Balcatta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
2º
24
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRS
0 - 2
FLO
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PRS
0 - 2
STI
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRS
1 - 0
STI
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
PRS
26%
21%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
PRS
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
FRC
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
WES
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
COC
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARM
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PRS
1 - 0
BAL
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |