Perth Glory vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
SYD
0 - 2
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 2
PER
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
WAD
2 - 1
NCB
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
WAD
2 - 1
SYD
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 4
WAD
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
WAD
2 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
4 - 0
WAD
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |