Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
12º
11º
24
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
PER
4 - 2
MCI
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 2
PER
56%
22%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 0
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WPH
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |