Perth Glory vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 1
PAP
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 0
NZK
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
PER
6 - 1
BRI
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
2 - 0
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
0 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SFC
1 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |