Perth Glory vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
PER
4 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
SYD
3 - 1
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
PER
4 - 1
ADE
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PER
2 - 1
PAP
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |