Perth Glory vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
ADE
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
PER
3 - 2
SFC
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 1
PAP
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PAP
4 - 3
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
5 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
NZK
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |