Perth Glory vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
PER
4 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
SYD
3 - 1
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
PER
4 - 1
ADE
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAP
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
SFC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |