Perth Glory vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
PER
3 - 0
CSC
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SYD
3 - 1
PER
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PER
2 - 2
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
NCB
3 - 2
PER
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 2
NCB
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
WAD
5 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
6 - 1
GIF
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |