Perth Glory vs Parramatta Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 4
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
PER
1 - 0
MEL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 2
PER
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
PER
3 - 0
CSC
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
PER
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 0
ADE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 0
PAP
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 3
NZK
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
EPR
2 - 1
PAP
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
PAP
3 - 1
SYD
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |