Perth Glory vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
PER
2 - 1
PAP
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BRI
1 - 1
PER
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PER
3 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 4
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 0
NZK
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 0
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
NZK
2 - 0
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
BRI
0 - 2
NZK
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
NZK
2 - 1
PAP
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |