Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
8º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SYD
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
WES
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
WES
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |