Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 0
PER
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
WPH
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
WES
1 - 1
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
WES
2 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 2
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |