Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PER
4 - 2
MEL
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 0
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 2
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
STA
1 - 4
PER
9%
16%
76%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
WPH
4 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CCM
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
ADE
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |