Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
WES
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
CCM
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 3
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |