Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
WPH
2 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
WPH
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
POH
6 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ULS
0 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
BEI
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |