Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2006 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
49%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |