Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 2
PER
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
PER
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PER
4 - 0
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
MEL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 3
DAE
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |