Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GWE
0 - 6
PER
1%
5%
94%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
SYD
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 5
MEL
4%
10%
87%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
OAK
2 - 4
MEL
5%
11%
85%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
MEL
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
ADE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |