Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
PER
3 - 3
BRI
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |