Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2006 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PER
4 - 1
NZK
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 0
NZK
79%
16%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 3
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |