Perth Glory vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
PAP
3 - 1
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PER
1 - 2
BRI
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 1
PER
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 3
PER
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
3 - 0
NCB
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 0
SYD
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CSC
2 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 3
PER
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |