Perth Glory vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 2
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 1
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PER
2 - 2
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 4
PER
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
PER
1 - 0
GIF
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 0
NCB
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 0
MEL
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
3 - 0
CCO
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |