Perth Glory vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
BRI
0 - 1
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PER
1 - 4
ADE
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
CSC
2 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
3 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
PER
4 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
0 - 1
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 0
MEL
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 4
SOU
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |