Perth Glory vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 0
PER
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
PER
4 - 2
ADE
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
CCM
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
SYD
0 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |