Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
PER
40%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
GWE
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 2
PER
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MFC
4 - 1
ADE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 1
MFC
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 3
MFC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
MFC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 2
WUF
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |