Perth Glory vs Carlton SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PER
6 - 1
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
PAP
3 - 1
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PER
1 - 2
BRI
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 1
PER
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 3
PAP
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
BRI
1 - 1
CSC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
CSC
2 - 0
CCO
78%
14%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
ADE
0 - 0
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CSC
2 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |