Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
SYD
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
CCM
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
PER
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WES
3 - 0
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 2
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
ADE
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |