Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PER
0 - 3
SYD
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 1
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
3 - 3
PER
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
WES
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
5 - 1
CCM
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
KAA
3 - 0
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 3
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |