Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 5
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 0
PER
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MCI
2 - 2
BRI
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
SHA
0 - 2
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
6 - 0
GLO
88%
9%
2%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
WES
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |