Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 0
PER
50%
23%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PER
1 - 3
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PER
3 - 3
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
BEI
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
WPH
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |