Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
WPH
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
BEI
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
FCT
4 - 2
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 2
ULS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 3
BRI
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |