Perth Glory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
8º
42
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
MFC
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
WES
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 1
WUF
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WES
2 - 3
ADE
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 4
ADE
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |