Perth Glory vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 3
PER
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
PER
3 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
PER
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ADE
2 - 1
PAP
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 1
ADE
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
CCO
3 - 0
ADE
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
PER
2 - 1
ADE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ADE
0 - 0
PER
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |